Sunday is going to be one of those days when you grab your favorite beverages, foods, and lucky charms and just sit for a while. That’s it; all you need to do is just sit there and watch these fantastic NFL Week 11 games, giving a whole new meaning to the term “Sunday Funday.”
There’s no reason to move from your couch when you have four NFL mega-matchups, spanning from early in the 1:00 window, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills, and going all the way until the Sunday Night Football game between the Detroit Lions at Philadelphia.
Between those two games, we’ll see vital divisional rivalries, with one in the NFC West as the Los Angeles Rams host the Seattle Seahawks, as well as the AFC West matchup featuring the Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos.
Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just in it for the adrenaline rush, NFL Week 11 is serving up a football feast you won’t want to miss. Settle in, clear your schedule, and get ready for a Sunday packed with heart-pounding action, jaw-dropping plays, and rivalries that will keep you glued to the screen.
Let’s break down what makes each of these matchups must-see TV!
What are the Biggest NFL Games for Week 11?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-5.5) – Total: 48.5 | 1:00 pm ET
Both teams come in at 6-3, with the Buccaneers 4-1 on the road and the Bills 4-1 at home. For further mirror imaging, both teams are coming off a loss, so expect the intensity to be at an all-time high. In fact, Tampa nearly won outright at Buffalo two seasons ago, and you know that is sticking in the back of their minds.
This will also be a matchup of two QBs firmly in the MVP race: Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield. It’s odd to say, but the Bucs probably don’t have as much urgency to win this game, considering their final six games: vs ARZ, vs NO, ATL, at CAR, at MIA, vs CAR. Meanwhile, the Bills find themselves going through the gauntlet in the next few weeks’ matchups after the Bucs: at HOU, at PIT, vs CIN (Joe Burrow possibly back), at NE, at CLE, vs PHI.
Looking ahead, I feel like we’re getting a strong number at 48.5 points for the total to go over. Both defenses have their particular areas of struggle – the Bucs against the pass, the Bills against the run – and those mismatches should certainly keep the chains moving.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) – Total: 48.5 | 4:05 pm ET
According to the records, this matchup of 7-2 teams will be the game of the day, as both teams are riding a four-game win streak! The Rams have won their last four games by 2+ TDs (an average margin of 20.5 points), and the Seahawks are winning by an average of 15.5 points per game.
LA has scored 34+ points in three straight games, while Seattle has put up 38 and 44 respectively in their last two games. We talked about the elite QB play in the Bucs-Bills game, but that will certainly be matched in this contest: Matthew Stafford has 3+ TD passes in five of his last six games (including 13 over the last three), while Sam Darnold has the same number of incomplete passes (5) as he does TD passes over the last two games.
It’s hard not to be optimistic about this 48.5-point total going over as well, given the wild efficiency for each team. I would hop on this total quickly before it jumps up even further.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) at Denver Broncos – Total: 43.5 | 4:25 pm ET
OK, maybe we’ll actually get some defense from one of the games. The Chiefs-Broncos 43.5-point total is the lowest in this subset of highlighted matchups, and it does come with good reasoning, despite what we all think Patrick Mahomes and Bo Nix will have to say about it.
Denver ranks #3 in total defense (270.7 YPG), and it has held KC to fewer than 20 points in each of the last four meetings. On the flip side, the Chiefs rank #6 in total defense (291.8 PPG), and they had allowed a total of 24 points in the three games leading up to their last game in Buffalo.
The Chiefs being favored raises some eyebrows, especially since they are 1-3 on the road, heading into the house where the Broncos are a perfect 5-0 this season. This leads me to believe KC’s defense will get it done, especially coming out of its bye week with extra time to prepare.
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) – Total: 47.5 | 8:20 pm ET
Last, but not least, we’ll get what was supposed to be last season’s NFC Championship Game between the 7-2 Eagles and 6-3 Lions. Believe it or not, these teams haven’t met since early in the 2022 season, so that element of unfamiliarity could be very interesting to watch unfold throughout Sunday night.
Philly has rattled off three straight wins, including the 10-7 slugfest against Green Bay on Monday, while Detroit has had a mixed bag of results in recent weeks. We can certainly make the argument that the Lions have gone through a much more difficult gauntlet of opponents than the Eagles, who have been lucky to escape with many of the wins they have.
Ultimately, I believe Detroit has the better QB in Jared Goff, as well as the supporting cast led by RB Jahmyr Gibbs (3 TDs last week) and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Don’t feel bashful about letting this one fly with the Lions winning outright!
