Week 7 of the college football season has arrived, so it’s time to sort through the best prop bets on the Saturday slate.
Last week was a bit light on the excitement scale, with only one matchup between Top-25 teams, but we’ll make up for that with marquee battles, including (1) Ohio State at (17) Illinois and (8) Alabama at (14) Missouri.
Throughout the season, we’ll learn a lot about which teams are allowing production to particular positions, and in turn, that will enable us to make more informed decisions when we’re placing prop bets.
After doing quite a bit of extensive research, I have identified three players that are primed to break out this Saturday from the QB, RB, and WR positions. Let’s see what Week 7 of the college football season has in store with the top three prop bets:
What are the Best Bets for CFB Week 7 Games?
Julian Sayin (Ohio State): Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+130)
We’re getting plus odds on Sayin because Illinois has allowed only one QB (Fernando Mendoza: 5) to go over this 2.5 mark. Well, the Fighting Illini certainly haven’t faced the No.1 team in the nation before either.
Sayin has been phenomenal in the four games since a subpar season-opening performance, throwing for 2+ TDs each time out, and 3+ TDs in three of those games.
Illinois is allowing plenty of success through the air to opposing QBs, but the TD numbers against them having shown up on the stat sheet yet. Ohio State has some of the best WRs in the nation, led by future first-round pick Jeremiah Smith, and that will be a huge help in getting Sayin over the mark on Saturday at plus-odds.
Yamir Knight (SMU): Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Stanford is getting aerial assaulted nearly every week, allowing the fifth-most yards after catch (315) in all of CFB, as well as the sixth-most targets (40) and 11th-most receptions (26.8) per game to the WR position. To put this in clear perspective, a whopping 11 different WRs have topped 40+ receiving yards against the Cardinal this season.
Knight has been much more involved in SMU’s attack over the last three weeks, with at least 40+ receiving yards and 5+ targets in all of those games. The Stanford-SMU game has a total at 55.5 points, so the opportunities will certainly be there for Knight on Saturday.
Ahmad Hardy (Missouri): Over 99.5 Rushing Yards (-102)
It’s certainly worth noting that only three RBs have rushed for 100+ yards against Alabama since the beginning of the 2024 season. So, why the hell is this prop line set all the way up at 99.5 yards?
For one, Hardy has hit triple-digits on the ground in seven straight games, including nine of the last 10, and 13 of the last 17. One of the games where Alabama allowed 100+ on the ground was just two weeks ago, and they have allowed long runs from RBs of 24, 43, and 65 in their last two games.
Hardy has 22+ carries in each of his last four games, and if (14) Missouri has a chance in knocking off (8) Alabama on Saturday, they’ll need to ride their star RB all the way.
