The Las Vegas Raiders are headed into the high altitude to take on the Denver Broncos, and this matchup looks to be a one-sided affair. Last week, the Broncos won a thrilling 18-15 game to move to 7-2, while the Raiders lost a heartbreaker in overtime to fall to 2-6.
With big names and breakout talents on both sides, there are plenty of profitable angles to attack if you’re looking to get ahead on your wagers or just want to sound like you know what you’re talking about in the group chat.
So, what are the best ways to attack this Raiders-Broncos showdown? I’m dialing in on three bets that stand out above the rest, and I’ve got all the numbers, matchups, and recent trends to back them up. Bo Nix, Courtland Sutton, Tre Tucker are the names you want a part of heading into this matchup. Let’s jump into the action and find those winning bets for Thursday Night Football!
What are the Best Bets for Thursday Night Football: Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos?
Bo Nix: Over 239.5 Passing + Rushing Yards (-115)
Even though this is the first game of the Week 10 slate, I’m pretty sure this is going to be my top bet anywhere for November. Whoa!
Nix has topped 239.5 PRY in four of his last six games, and the two misnomers were against the Jets (in London) and last week against the Texans (#1 defense in the NFL). The Raiders are neither the Texans nor playing in London, so I doubt they’ll put up much resistance towards Nix tonight. It’s worth noting, Vegas has been a much worse defense on the road, allowing 371.8 total yards per game there, compared to 295 at home.
For tonight, Nix’s passing yards prop is only 215.5 yards, which is quite interesting, considering every single QB to face the Raiders this season has thrown for at least 207+ yards. Nix should even get another chance to use his legs, as Vegas is allowing the fifth-most QB rushes per game (5.5); he’s got 22+ rushing yards in four of his last five games.
2-Leg SGP: Courtland Sutton: Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Raiders run the most zone coverage (83.8%) in the NFL, so it might take some time for Sutton to exceed this mark, but he will get there. After all, his last game against the Raiders produced an 8-97-2 stat line.
I just mentioned those Broncos’ games against the Jets and Texans, and those were unsurprisingly Sutton’s worst games in his last seven tries. In fact, he’s got 67+ receiving yards in all of the other five games in that subset, with four of them going for 80+.
Last week, against that league-leading Texans’ defense, Sutton was held to one catch on six targets, but we know that Nix is still looking his way. In true heroic fashion, you have to imagine the WR1 getting one catch just four days ago, receiving a healthy portion of targets coming his way in the next game.
2-Leg SGP: Tre Tucker: Over 2.5 Receptions + Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (+200)
As I was writing this article, Jacobi Meyers got traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars, so this certainly opens up some targets for a Raiders team that will likely be trailing the entire night.
Brock Bowers returned to the lineup in the last game, and he was absolutely sensational with a major stat line that included three TDs. However, the Broncos have one of the better defenses in football, and I imagine they devise a plan to contain Bowers as much as possible; this will leave Tucker in some favorable scenarios.
For as good as Denver’s defense is, they do allow big plays. Over his last six games, Tucker has catches of 22,33, 37, and 61 yards, so that is one area that’ll get us to this number quicker. Also, the Broncos are still without CB Patrick Surtain II, and they have allowed four different WRs to gain +70 yards through the air.
