Sunday Night Football features the Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs, and we’ve got the three best bets to place in this primetime showdown.
The Chiefs (-2.5) come into this game as the slight home favorite, but the Lions did win on their last trip to Arrowhead, which was the 2023 season opener.
One of the most notable things about the Lions-Chiefs game is the 52.5-point total, which is four points up from the initial offering of 48.5. When these teams faced in 2023, Detroit came away with a 21-20 victory. This won’t be a season-opening game, and both teams have worked out some of the kinks, so we should expect to see a much higher-scoring affair on Sunday night.
An increasing total brings plenty of excitement to several betting markets, with more optimism on TD bets, overs on prop bets, and so much more.
After digging into the numbers, I have identified the three best bets to place on tonight’s Sunday Night Football matchup between the Lions and Chiefs. Let’s see what we got:
What are the Best Bets for the Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs game on Sunday Night Football?
2-Leg SGP: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Anytime TD + Over 48.5 Points (+110)
We mentioned the increasing total in the Lions-Chiefs matchup, but I want to bring this total back to the original 48.5 mark – seven TD/XP combos and we’re golden. The total was driven up due in part to the fact this is a primetime game and everyone will be on the total; it might not matter much, but 52.5 points is still a tough task no matter how you slice it.
Gibbs has the best odds (-175) of any player to score in this contest. You would love to put a single bet on him to find paydirt, but those odds are a bit more than I like to risk. Gibbs has scored a TD in each of his last four games, and in 16 of his last 20.
Patrick Mahomes: Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts (-112)
Mahomes has exceeded 4.5 rushing attempts in all but one game this season, and that was a game where KC was leading early; he still had four rushes.
This matchup against the Lions sets up nicely for Mahomes to smash right through the 4.5 mark, considering the increasing total and the likelihood that the Chiefs will need to throw the ball to be successful. Detroit has Top-5 numbers against the run this season, so that will undoubtedly put KC in more passing situations.
If the Chiefs wind up trailing in this game, the 4.5 mark will feel like we stole something. Judging from watching KC early on, it seems like opposing teams are forcing Mahomes to run – and you can’t blame them for wanting to limit his bazooka arm.
Jared Goff: Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
KC has not defended running QBs well this season, allowing the most rushing attempts (7.6) and third-most rushing yards per game (35.8) to that position. Goff certainly isn’t someone we’d consider a “mobile QB”, but he has eclipsed this mark in three of his last six games.
All it takes is one play, and perhaps it could be as simple as a QB sneak right up the middle. Given what we’ve seen from previous QBs to face the Chiefs, the opportunity will be there for Goff to get a few yards on a scramble.
