College Football Week 11 Games & 3 Prop Bets for Saturday Nov 8

Nussmeier, Reid & Douglas player prop bets for CFB Week 11


Week 11 of the college football season is here, and we’ve got plenty of high-stakes matchups to cash in on with some of the best bets. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just looking to kick your Saturday up a notch, this slate has something for everyone as the race to the CFB Playoff heats up. We’re keeping a close eye on trending value in the prop betting markets, as several standout players who have the potential to come through big for us.

This is the time of year when teams reveal their true identities, and the stars begin to shine even brighter. With playoff implications and bragging rights on the line, every snap matters—and that means the prop bets can be just as thrilling as the games themselves. From breakout WRs to dual-threat QBs, there’s no shortage of storylines to track as we dig into the best wagers for Saturday’s action.

Below, you’ll find my favorite prop bets for Week 11, focusing on the likes of Caleb Douglas, Marcel Reed, and Garrett Nussmeier. I’ve broken down the matchups, recent performances, and odds to help you make informed picks and enjoy a profitable college football Saturday. Let’s dive right in and see where the value lies for these three players.

 

What are the Best Prop Bets for CFB Week 11 Games ?

 

BYU at Texas Tech | Caleb Douglas: Anytime TD (+135)

 

Douglas has popped off with three TDs over his last two games, and we like him to find paydirt once again on Saturday. Last week, Douglas went for 8-82-2 in Texas Tech’s 43-20 win against Kansas State.

Texas Tech (-10) is a sizable favorite, which is pretty wild considering they’re facing an undefeated BYU team. While the Cougars have been strong against the pass, the level of competition is nowhere near what they’ll see in this matchup.

These last two games (13-180-3) signal another breakout performance for Douglas, and it’s no coincidence that it happened as QB Behren Morton has been playing much better of late; Morton has -170 odds to throw 2+ TDs vs BYU. I feel like we’re getting incredibly valuable odds here, so let’s start our day off with a nice plus-money bang.

 

Texas A&M at Missouri | Marcel Reed: Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

 

Reed (+900) has the fourth-lowest odds to win the Heisman Trophy, and he may just get it if the Aggies can stay unbeaten through the SEC Championship. But first things first, as Texas A&M hits the road for a date with Missouri, which has a solid defensive unit.

The key matchup isn’t necessarily against Mizzou’s secondary, but rather the front-seven. So far, the Tigers are tied for sixth in the nation with 3.1 sacks per game. However, Reed has only been sacked once over his last four games.

In A&M’s last game against LSU, Reed used his legs more than usual and had his first 100-yard rushing game of the season; he’s even had 40+ runs in each of the last two games. Well, that certainly bodes well for this bet, and Reed will need to be creative against a Missouri defense that only allows 167.1 passing yards per game (9th-fewest in the nation).

 

LSU at Alabama | Garrett Nussmeier: Under 232.5 Passing Yards (-105)

 

Oh yeah, we’re adding an under in here! It’s certainly worth noting that the LSU-Alabama total opened at 54.5 points and has since rapidly shot down to 49.5 points.

Nussmeier has failed to top this mark of 232.5 in each of his last two games, and in three of his previous four. In fact, he hasn’t topped this mark in any road game this season, but he did miss by the hook in the season opener at Clemson.

But here comes the crux of the argument – Alabama is allowing only 163 passing yards per game (7th-best in the nation). Given the declining total, the rivalry aspect, and the matchup, we are certainly moving in the right direction here.

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